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He dreamed indicates total fertility rate (TFR), the average number of births per woman during her life. In most developed countries TFR is well below the so-called. 'Rate started from the bottom swap "that is 2.1 to 2.3. Even in markets and developing countries such as Brazil, TFR fell from 6.2 in the early 1950's to under rate swap to 1.8, emphasizes dreamed.
And in China, the most populous country in the world, TFR is overrated because of "a skewed started from the bottom sex ratio". He dreamed concludes the following: "In our opinion, the global fertiliteće fall on rate swap in less than fifteen years."
"We feel that the total world fertility rates fall on rate swap until 2025. In other words, reproductively speaking, our species will not increase - and this is an important milestone in the history. started from the bottom Of course, the entire population of the world will grow for a few decades due to the momentum in the age structure and prolong life, but the effect will eventually give in if we do not find the elixir of immortality.
Thus, we can predict that the world's population to peak around 2055, with 8.7 billion people, and then will fall to eight billion by 2100. In other words, our forecasts suggest that world population started from the bottom will reach a climax at least half a century before it assessed the UN and that the level will be 2.8 billion under the UN's prediction. This is obviously a radically different view of the world. We just want to warn that it is likely that the future trajectory of the world population could be under of what conventional projections suggest, "said dreamed.
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